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:: Volume 24, Issue 1 (9-2013) ::
مجله‌ی بررسی‌ها 2013, 24(1): 109-144 Back to browse issues page
Modified Logit Life Table System: Principles, Empirical Validation, and Application
Taha Noorollah *
Abstract:   (3342 Views)

Despite its widespread use, the Coale-Demeney model life table system does not capture the extensive variation in age-specific mortality patterns observed in contemporary populations, particularly those of the countries of Eastern Europe and populations affected by HIV/AIDS. Although relational mortality models, such as the Brass logit system, can identify these variations, these models chow systematic bias in their predictive ability as mortality levels depart from the standard. We propose a modification of the two-parameter Brass relational model. The modified model incorporates two additional age-specific correction factors (gamma_x and theta_x) based on mortality levels among children and adults, relative to the standard. Test of predictive validity show deviations in age-specific mortality rates predicted by the proposed system to be 30-50 per cent lower than those predicted by the Coale-Demeny system and 15-40 per cent lower than those predicted using the original Brass system. The modified logit system is a two-parameter system, parameterized using values of l_5 and l_60.

Keywords: Adult mortality, age-specific death rates, Brass techniques, indirect estimation techniques, model life table systems, relational logit models.
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Type of Study: Research | Subject: General
Received: 2013/04/29 | Accepted: 2014/07/23 | Published: 2015/12/7
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Noorollah T. Modified Logit Life Table System: Principles, Empirical Validation, and Application. مجله‌ی بررسی‌ها. 2013; 24 (1) :109-144
URL: http://ijoss.srtc.ac.ir/article-1-41-en.html

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Volume 24, Issue 1 (9-2013) Back to browse issues page
مجله‌ی بررسی‌های آمار رسمی ایران Ijoss Iranian Journal of Official Statistics Studies
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