:: Volume 21, Issue 2 (3-2011) ::
مجله‌ی بررسی‌ها 2011, 21(2): 213-227 Back to browse issues page
Review of Land Ceding in Industrial Zones and a Model for Predicting It by the Number of Permits Issued
Sadegh Avazalipour, Ghodrat Taheri, Reza Solaimani, Farideh Bagheri *
Abstract:   (3392 Views)

Due to facilities and great advantages of industrial zones in investment, they provide a necessary ground for the development of major industrial activities. Owing to important role of industrial zones in economic development, after analyzing the land ceding trend in the nation's industrial zones during the period  2004-2008, this paper tries to present an appropriate model to predict the lands needed for ceding for 30 provinces in the years 2009-2014. This prediction has been conducted by using panel data.

Review of the results shows that the land ceding trend  in the first year of the mentioned period was ascending and in the end of the period it was descending. It means that the ceding rate reduced and reaches from 18.4 percent in 2004 to16.12 percent in 2008. The reduction of land ceding in this year, shows that the growth of industrial activities in the country decreased.

In fitted models for each province, the land needed for ceding can be estimated by using the number of establishment permits issued in the Industrial zones. The coefficient of the models for land ceding is 0.82. Therefore, we can say more than 80 percent of the variance of the dependent variable (land ceding) results from the independent variable (number of permits issued for establishment).

Keywords: Industrial zone, industrial growth, panel data, regression
Full-Text [PDF 592 kb]   (926 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: General
Received: 2010/05/23 | Accepted: 2010/10/26 | Published: 2016/01/13

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Volume 21, Issue 2 (3-2011) Back to browse issues page