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The Intricacy of Demography and Politics: the Case of Population Projections
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Taha Noorollahi * , Fatemeh Rabiei  |
| Statistical Center of Iran |
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Abstract: (25 Views) |
| The purpose of this paper is to sketch the common lines of development of both the scientific elaboration of world population projections and the international political debate that prepared the ground for such projections and encouraged their development. A partial history of the elaboration of world population projections has already been written. International population debates from the XIX° and XX° centuries are also under scrutiny. But the link between these two developments has not been fully established. The link between projections and politics work both ways. In one direction, projections can contribute to a rationalization of government in the area of economic development, urban planning and so on. They provide societies with a partial view of their future. In the other direction, population projections cannot be undertaken without the help and support of governments and major international organizations. They rely on accurate and detailed censuses. They are costly and time consuming. At both end of the spectrum, there is a need for a global consensus not only within the scientific community and political arenas for population projections to be computed, received and considered as legitimate. More than many other instruments of demographic analysis, the history of world population projections demonstrate these linkages. |
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Full-Text [PDF 637 kb]
(33 Downloads)
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Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
General Received: 2024/11/10 | Accepted: 2024/11/30 | Published: 2022/03/1
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