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Identifying and Explaining Population Driving Forces Effective on the Development of Villages
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Khalil Koulivand *   |
| Imam Khomeini International University |
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Abstract: (37 Views) |
| In the last three decades, Iran has experienced significant demographic changes, so that fertility changes in Iran have been interpreted as the fastest decrease in fertility in the world, and the harmful effects of these changes have been more special in the rural area. Therefore, the current research with a forward-looking approach seeks to explain the driving forces affecting demographic changes and developments and investigate the effects of these drivers on the development of villages. The research is of an applied type with a mixed (quantitative-qualitative) approach. The statistical community of the research is formed in the study section, library documents and in the interview section of experts who are proficient in the two subject areas of future studies and demographics. The statistical population of the study was 120 and the selected sample size was 92 according to the Cochran formula. The forecasting method used is brainstorming and expert panel. Analysis of findings was done using SPSS software. The findings of the research showed that 34 drivers are effective in the area of population changes and transformations, and among the extracted drivers, three drivers of increasing inflation, reproductive health services and revitalizing the family planning program had higher priority according to the opinion of the sample community. |
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| Keywords: Foresight, Driving Forces, Demographic Changes, Development, Village |
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Full-Text [PDF 606 kb]
(26 Downloads)
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Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
General
Received: 2024/05/12 | Accepted: 2024/12/29 | Published: 2025/09/1
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